Will the COVID-19 pandemic slow down in the Northern hemisphere by the onset of summer? An epidemiological hypothesis

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected most countries of the world. As corona viruses are highly prevalent in the cold season, the question remains whether or not the pandemic will improve with increasing temperatures in the Northern hemisphere. We use data from a primary care registry of almost 15,000 patients over 20 years to retrieve information on viral respiratory infection outbreaks. Our analysis suggests that the severity of the pandemic will be softened by the seasonal change to summer.

Media Type:

Electronic Article

Year of Publication:

2020

Contained In:

Infection - Vol. 48, No. 4 (2020), p. 627-629

Language:

English

Contributors:

Dzien, Alexander
Dzien-Bischinger, Christine
Lechleitner, Monika
Winner, Hannes
Weiss, Günter

Links:

Volltext

Keywords:

*Seasons
*Temperature
Betacoronavirus
COVID-19
Coronavirus Infections
Epidemiology
Global Health
Humans
Influenza
Journal Article
Pandemic
Pandemics
Pneumonia, Viral
Registries
Respiratory Tract Infections
Respiratory viral infection
Seasonality

Notes:

Date Completed 14.08.2020

Date Revised 09.09.2020

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

Copyright: From MEDLINE®/PubMed®, a database of the U.S. National Library of Medicine

Physical Description:

Online-Ressource

doi:

10.1007/s15010-020-01460-1

PMID:

32578052

PPN (Catalogue-ID):

NLM312469314